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Repeated Elections with Asymmetric Information

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Author Info
John Duggan

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Abstract

An infinite sequence of elections with no term limits is modelled. In each period a challenger with privately known preferences is randomly drawn from the electorate to run against the incumbent, and the winner chooses a policy outcome in a one-dimensional issue space. One theorem is that there exists an equilibrium in which the median voter is decisive: an incumbent wins re-election if and only if his most recent policy choice gives the median voter a payoff at least as high as he would expect from a challenger. The equilibrium is symmetric, stationary, and the behavior of voters is consistent with both retrospective and prospective voting. A second theorem is that, in fact, it is the only equilibrium possessing the latter four conditions - decisiveness of the median voter is implied by them. Copyright Blackwell Publishers Ltd 2000.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Economics and Politics.

Volume (Year): 12 (2000)
Issue (Month): 2 (07)
Pages: 109-135
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Handle: RePEc:bla:ecopol:v:12:y:2000:i:2:p:109-135

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  1. Tasos Kalandrakis, 2006. "A Reputational Theory of Two Party Competition," Wallis Working Papers WP41, University of Rochester - Wallis Institute of Political Economy. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. repec:bep:thetop:v:5:y:2006:i:1:p:1244-1244 is not listed on IDEAS
  3. Casamatta, Georges & Zantman, Wilfried, 2003. "Citizen Candidacy with Asymmetric Information," CEPR Discussion Papers 3886, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. John Duggan & Jeffrey S. Banks, 2008. "A Dynamic Model of Democratic Elections in Multidimensional Policy Spaces," Wallis Working Papers WP53, University of Rochester - Wallis Institute of Political Economy. [Downloadable!]
  5. John Duggan & Mark Fey, 2006. "Repeated Downsian electoral competition," International Journal of Game Theory, Springer, vol. 35(1), pages 39-69, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Banks, Jeffrey S. & Duggan, John, 2003. "A Social Choice Lemma on Voting over Lotteries with Applications to a Class of Dynamic Games," Working Papers 1163, California Institute of Technology, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Cecilia Testa, 2004. "Party Polarization and Electoral Accountability," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 130, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  8. Casamatta, Georges & De Paoli, Caroline, 2004. "Ex Post Inefficiency in a Political Agency Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 4275, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Casamatta, Georges & Cremer, Helmuth & De Donder, Philippe, 2008. "Repeated electoral competition over non-linear income tax schedules," CEPR Discussion Papers 7054, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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