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Income Risk, the Tax-Benefit System and the Demand for Children

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Author Info
Fraser, Clive D
Abstract

Because children represent an irreversible commitment, parents might hedge against higher income risk by having fewer children. We show that, under plausible assumptions, recent increases in income risk might have reduced prudent parents' desired fertility. Responses to this via the tax-benefit system are considered. Introducing an expected revenue-neutral transfer-cum-child-benefit system under proportional taxation, which lets the government share the household's income risk, increases desired fertility for parents who would choose to have small families in this system's absence. Pound for pound, the targeted child benefit enhances fertility more than the lump-sum transfer. Copyright 2001 by The London School of Economics and Political Science

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Article provided by London School of Economics and Political Science in its journal Economica.

Volume (Year): 68 (2001)
Issue (Month): 269 (February)
Pages: 105-25
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Handle: RePEc:bla:econom:v:68:y:2001:i:269:p:105-25

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  1. Mike Brewer & Anita Ratcliffe & Sarah Smith, 2008. "Does welfare reform affect fertility? Evidence from the UK," IFS Working Papers W08/09, Institute for Fiscal Studies. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Morissette, René & Ostrovsky, Yuri, 2005. "The Instability of Family Earnings and Family Income in Canada, 1986 to 1991 and 1996 to 2001," Analytical Studies Branch Research Paper Series 2005265e, Statistics Canada, Analytical Studies Branch. [Downloadable!]
  3. Masao Nakagawa & Yoshiaki Sugimoto, 2009. "Income Distribution and Macroeconomics Revisited: The Role of Fertility Adjustment," ISER Discussion Paper 0758, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University. [Downloadable!]
  4. Volker Meier & Matthias Wrede, 2008. "Reducing the Excess Burden of Subsidizing the Stork: Joint Taxation, Individual Taxation, and Family Tax Splitting," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
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