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Modelling the Transition from School and the Demand for Training in the United Kingdom

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  • Martyn Andrews
  • Steve Bradley

Abstract

This paper analyses the choices made by school leavers and the demand for training in the youth labour market. Using a large cross‐section database on all school leavers in Lancashire in 1991, we model, using a multinomial logit, their first destination six months after the end of compulsory schooling. We model six choices/outcomes: non‐vocational continuing education, vocational continuing education, youth training, employment with on‐the‐job training, employment with general‐skills training, and unemployment. Our results show that the first destination from school is affected by a range of individual, school and local labour market variables. In addition to academic ability, we report three effects that are not well known: a young person is more likely to leave school the bigger the school, the lower its academic performance, and the lower his or her expected lifetime earn‐ings.

Suggested Citation

  • Martyn Andrews & Steve Bradley, 1997. "Modelling the Transition from School and the Demand for Training in the United Kingdom," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 64(255), pages 387-413, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:econom:v:64:y:1997:i:255:p:387-413
    DOI: 10.1111/1468-0335.00087
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