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Covered Interest Parity: A High-Frequency, High-Quality Data Study

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Author Info
Taylor, Mark P

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Abstract

Profitable deviations from covered interest parity (CIP) represent riskless arbitrage opportunities and so indicate market ineffic iency. Previous empirical work on CIP uses noncontemporaneously sampl ed data and reports mixed results. This paper uses high-frequency (te n-minute), high-quality data, gathered personally by the author in th e London foreign-exchange market, to test the CIP condition. The resu lts overwhelmingly support the market-efficiency hypothesis. Copyright 1987 by The Review of Economic Studies Limited.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by London School of Economics and Political Science in its journal Economica.

Volume (Year): 54 (1987)
Issue (Month): 216 (November)
Pages: 429-38
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Handle: RePEc:bla:econom:v:54:y:1987:i:216:p:429-38

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  1. Craig Burnside & Martin Eichenbaum & Isaac Kleshchelski & Sergio Rebelo, 2006. "The Returns to Currency Speculation," NBER Working Papers 12489, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Ted Juhl & William Miles & Marc D. Weidenmier, 2004. "Covered Interest Arbitrage: Then vs. Now," NBER Working Papers 10961, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Akram, Qaisar Farooq & Rime, Dagfinn & Sarno, Lucio, 2008. "Arbitrage in the Foreign Exchange Market: Turning on the Microscope," CEPR Discussion Papers 6878, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Robert A. Blecker, 1998. "International Capital Mobility, Macroeconomic Imbalances, and the Risk of Global Contraction," SCEPA Working Papers 1998-10, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School, revised Nov 2000. [Downloadable!]
  5. Bing Han, 2004. "Is the forward premium puzzle universal?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 131-134, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Kleopatra Nikolaou & Lucio Sarno, 2005. "New Evidence on the Forward Unbiasedness Hypothesis in the Foreign Exchange Market," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 77, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
  7. Richard Clarida & Lucio Sarno & Mark Taylor & Giorgio Valente, 2001. "The Out-of-Sample Success of Term Structure Models as Exchange Rate Predictors: A Step Beyond," NBER Working Papers 8601, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Stefan Reitz & M.P Taylor, 2006. "The Coordination Channel of Foreign Exchange Intervention," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 16, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
  9. Reitz, Stefan & Taylor, Mark P., 2006. "The coordination channel of foreign exchange intervention: a nonlinear microstructural analysis," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2006,08, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Yushi Yoshida & Jan C. Rülke, 2009. "On-Going versus Completed Interventions and Yen/Dollar Expectations - Evidence from Disaggregated Survey Data," Discussion Papers 35, Kyushu Sangyo University, Faculty of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  11. Wai-Ming Fong & Giorgio Valente & Joseph K.W. Fung, 2008. "FX Arbitrage and Market Liquidity: Statistical Significance and Economic Value," Working Papers 082008, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research. [Downloadable!]
  12. John Barkoulas & Christopher F. Baum, 1996. "Time-Varying Risk Premia in the Foreign Currency Futures Basis," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 281., Boston College Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  13. Leon, Hyginus & Sarno, Lucio & Valente, Giorgio, 2006. "Nonlinearity in Deviations from Uncovered Interest Parity: An Explanation of the Forward Bias Puzzle," CEPR Discussion Papers 5527, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Joshua V. Rosenberg & Leah G. Traub, 2006. "Price discovery in the foreign currency futures and spot market," Staff Reports 262, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
  15. Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Huizinga, H.P. & Lemmen, J.J.G., 1996. "Short-term and long-term government debt and nonresident interest witholding taxes," Discussion Paper 88, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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  16. Peter G. Szilagyi & Jonathan A. Batten, 2006. "Arbitrage, Covered Interest Parity and Long-Term Dependence between the US Dollar and the Yen," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp128, IIIS. [Downloadable!]
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