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Towards a New Normal: How Different Paths of US Monetary Policy Affect the World Economy

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  • M. Feldkircher
  • F. Huber
  • I. Moder

Abstract

type="main" xml:lang="en"> This note examines the impact of US monetary policy tightening on global output and consumer prices. We assess different paths of monetary policy normalization based on expectations of members and participants of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the US Federal Reserve's policy-making body. In the medium term, we find considerable negative effects on world GDP but only moderate effects on international prices. These negative spillovers are not confined to emerging economies but tend to carry over to other industrialized economies as well.

Suggested Citation

  • M. Feldkircher & F. Huber & I. Moder, 2015. "Towards a New Normal: How Different Paths of US Monetary Policy Affect the World Economy," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 44(3), pages 409-418, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecnote:v:44:y:2015:i:3:p:409-418
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    Cited by:

    1. Maximilian Böck & Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2020. "BGVAR: Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressions with Shrinkage Priors in R," Globalization Institute Working Papers 395, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.

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