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Dynamic Relationships among GCC Stock Markets and Nymex Oil Futures

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Author Info
Shawkat Hammoudeh
Eisa Aleisa
Abstract

Daily relationships among stock markets of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) members, excluding Qatar, form two equilibrium relationships with varying predictive power. The Saudi market leads, followed by Bahrain and United Arab Emirates. Kuwait, which is dominated by momentum traders, and Oman have the weakest links with the other GCC markets. Only the Saudi index can predict-and be predicted by-New York Mercantile Exchange oil futures prices. Therefore these markets are candidates for diversified regional portfolios at the country level. The trading day effect is weak for all GCC markets and oil futures prices but remains consistent with findings for the U.S. stock market. (JEL "C22", "F3", "Q49") Copyright 2004 Western Economic Association International.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1093/cep/byh018
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Article provided by Western Economic Association International in its journal Contemporary Economic Policy.

Volume (Year): 22 (2004)
Issue (Month): 2 (04)
Pages: 250-269
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Handle: RePEc:bla:coecpo:v:22:y:2004:i:2:p:250-269

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  1. Syed A. Basher & Perry Sadorsky, 2004. "Oil price risk and emerging stock markets," International Finance 0410003, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Mohamed El hedi Arouri & Christophe Rault, 2009. "On the Influence of Oil Prices on Stock Markets: Evidence from Panel Analysis in GCC Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  3. Mohamed El Hedi Arouri & Julien Fouquau, 2009. "On the short-term influence of oil price changes on stock markets in GCC countries: linear and nonlinear analyses," Working Papers hal-00387103_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
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