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Are There Adverse Inflation Effects Associated With Natural Gas Decontrol?

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  • MACK OTT
  • JOHN A. TATOM

Abstract

The Natural Gas Policy Act (NGPA) will decontrol gas prices in 1985, and there is concern about its inflation and output effects. In this investigation of these concerns, two misapprehensions are remedied. First, inflation is primarily a monetary phenomenon so that a rise in energy prices affects the price level, but any impact on inflation is temporary. Second, while analyses of NGPA have assumed that the price of gas will achieve parity with petroleum, they have neglected decontrol's effect on OPEC's optimal price, Our estimates of the decontrol effect demonstrate that energy prices will fall, not rise

Suggested Citation

  • Mack Ott & John A. Tatom, 1982. "Are There Adverse Inflation Effects Associated With Natural Gas Decontrol?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 1(1), pages 27-46, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:coecpo:v:1:y:1982:i:1:p:27-46
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7287.1982.tb00751.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Robert J. Gordon, 1977. "World Inflation and Monetary Accommodation in Eight Countries," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 8(2), pages 409-478.
    2. Robert S. Pindyck, 1979. "The Structure of World Energy Demand," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262661772, December.
    3. Paul W. MacAvoy & Robert S. Pindyck, 1973. "Alternative Regulatory Policies for Dealing with the Natural Gas Shortage," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 4(2), pages 454-498, Autumn.
    4. Barth, James R & Bennett, James T, 1975. "Cost-push versus Demand-pull Inflation: Some Empirical Evidence: Comment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 7(3), pages 391-397, August.
    5. John A. Tatom, 1981. "Energy prices and short-run economic performance," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 63(Jan), pages 3-17.
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    Cited by:

    1. Godil, Danish Iqbal & Sarwat, Salman & Khan, Muhammad Kamran & Ashraf, Muhammad Sajjad & Sharif, Arshian & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2022. "How the price dynamics of energy resources and precious metals interact with conventional and Islamic Stocks: Fresh insight from dynamic ARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    2. Meysam Azizi Kouchaksaraei & Hamed Movahedizadeh & Hoda Mohammadalikhani, 2016. "Determinant of the Relationship between Natural Gas Prices and Leading Natural Gas Countries¡¯ Stock Exchange," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(4), pages 246-253, April.
    3. John A. Tatom, 1984. "The role of energy in the productivity slowdown: a comment," Working Papers 1984-013, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

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