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The Long Run Demand For Broad Money in Australia Subject to Regime Shifts

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Author Info
Felmingham, Bruce
Zhang, Qing
Abstract

The goal is to determine if there is a stable Broad Money demand relationship for Australia. Previous studies have not reached a consensus on this important issue, partly because the time series techniques used do not accommodate structural breaks. A standard multivariate cointegration analysis is conducted on monthly data over the period 1976(3) to 1998(4). It reveals some evidence for the presence of cointegration since one cointegrating vector is found. This involves broad money, the spread between interest on broad money and on non-money assets and real GDP. The evidence of cointegration is again present when a structural break is found in the relationship using Gregory and Hansen (GH) methodology. This occurs in 1991 coinciding with a deep recession and policy induced, interest rate reductions. The income elasticity of demand exceeds one, reacts positively to the interest spread and negatively to inflation. Copyright 2001 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd/University of Adelaide and Flinders University of South Australia

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Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Australian Economic Papers.

Volume (Year): 40 (2001)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 146-55
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Handle: RePEc:bla:ausecp:v:40:y:2001:i:2:p:146-55

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  1. Abbas Valadkhani & Mohammad Alauddin, 2003. "Demand for M2 in Developing Countries: An Empirical Panel Investigation," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 158, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Valadkhani, Abbas, 2006. "What Determines the Demand for Money in the Asian-Pacific Countries? An Empirical Panel Investigation," Economics Working Papers wp06-11, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia. [Downloadable!]
  3. Abbas Valadkhani, 2003. "Long and Short-Run Determinants of Money Demand in New Zealand: Evidence from Cointegration Analysis," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 132, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology. [Downloadable!]
  4. Abbas Valadkhani, 2002. "Modelling Demand for Broad Money in Australia," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 120, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology. [Downloadable!]
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