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No News Is Good News: Stochastic Parameters versus Media Coverage Indices in Demand Models after Food Scares

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Mario Mazzocchi

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Abstract

We develop a stochastic parameter approach to model the time-varying impacts of food scares on consumption, as an alternative to the inclusion of news coverage indices in the demand function. We empirically test the methodology on data from four food scares, the 1982 heptachlor milk contamination in Oahu, Hawaii and the bovine spongiform encephalopathy and two "Escherichia coli" scares on U.S. meat demand over the period 1993-9. Results show that the inclusion of time-varying parameters in demand models enables the capturing of the impact of food safety information and provides better short-term forecasts. Copyright 2006 American Agricultural Economics Association.

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Article provided by American Agricultural Economics Association in its journal American Journal of Agricultural Economics.

Volume (Year): 88 (2006)
Issue (Month): 3 (08)
Pages: 727-741
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Handle: RePEc:bla:ajagec:v:88:y:2006:i:3:p:727-741

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  1. Radwan, Amr & Gil, Jose M. & Ben Kaabia, Monia & Serra, Teresa, 2008. "Modeling The Impact Of Food Safety Information On Meat Demand In Spain," 107th Seminar, January 30-February 1, 2008, Sevilla, Spain 6672, European Association of Agricultural Economists. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-24.


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