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An econometric analysis of rice consumption in the People's Republic of China

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  • E. Wesley F. Peterson
  • Lan Jin
  • Shoichi Ito

Abstract

Rice is the most important staple food in the People's Republic of China (PRO. In many Asian countries rice appears to have become an inferior good, with income increases leading to declines in per capita consumption as other food products are substituted for rice. In this study, human rice consumption is analyzed with a model that allows income elasticities to vary with income levels. An additional equation accounting for rice disappearance as seed, livestock feed, industrial uses and exports is also estimated. The results of the analysis indicate that rice has become an inferior good in China and per capita consumption is likely to decline in the future. Population growth and the growing use of rice for other purposes means that total rice disappearance will continue to increase although at a rate that is slower than has historically been the case. The predicted changes in rice consumption will create pressures to adjust production and trade patterns for rice as well as other agricultural products.

Suggested Citation

  • E. Wesley F. Peterson & Lan Jin & Shoichi Ito, 1991. "An econometric analysis of rice consumption in the People's Republic of China," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 6(1), pages 67-78, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:agecon:v:6:y:1991:i:1:p:67-78
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1574-0862.1991.tb00171.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Huang, Jikun & Rozelle, Scott, 1998. "Market development and food demand in rural China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 25-45.
    2. Ron Duncan, 1998. "An Optimistic View of World Food Prospects," Agenda - A Journal of Policy Analysis and Reform, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 73-82.
    3. Ron Duncan & Qun Shi & Rod Tyers, 2004. "Demographic Change and Demand for Food in Australia," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2004-441, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
    4. Fang, Cheng & Beghin, John C., 2002. "Urban Demand for Edible Oils and Fats in China: Evidence from Household Survey Data," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 732-753, December.
    5. Duncan, Ronald C., 2004. "Achieving food security in China: Implications of WTO accession," 2004 Conference (48th), February 11-13, 2004, Melbourne, Australia 58402, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    6. Yen, Steven T. & Fang, Cheng & Su, Shew-Jiuan, 2004. "Household food demand in urban China: a censored system approach," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 564-585, September.
    7. Zhang, Xiaobo & Mount, Timothy D. & Boisvert, Richard N., 2001. "The Demand for Food Grain in China: New Insights into a Controversy," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(1), pages 1-9, April.
    8. Wang, Qingbin, 1994. "Modeling China's household food demand in the transition toward a market economy," ISU General Staff Papers 1994010108000011518, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    9. Aguero, Jorge M. & Gould, Brian W., 2003. "A Household Level Analysis of Food Expenditure Patterns in Urban China: 1995-2000," Discussion Papers 37598, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Babcock Institute for International Dairy Research and Development.
    10. Han, Tong & Cramer, Gail L. & Wahl, Thomas I., 1997. "Rural Household Food Consumption in China: Evidence from the Rural Household Survey," 1997 Annual Meeting, July 13-16, 1997, Reno\ Sparks, Nevada 35797, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    11. Han, Tong & Wahl, Thomas I. & Mittelhammer, Ronald C., 1998. "Rural Household Fruit And Vegetable Consumption In China," 1998 Annual meeting, August 2-5, Salt Lake City, UT 20854, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    12. Wang, Haiyan & Zivkovic, Sanja, 2018. "Household Food Demand Analysis in Rural China: Implications for Food Imports," 2018 Annual Meeting, February 2-6, 2018, Jacksonville, Florida 267163, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    13. Kopp, Thomas & Nabernegg, Markus, 2022. "Inequality and Environmental Impact – Can the Two Be Reduced Jointly?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).

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