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The Level and Power of the Bootstrap t Test in the AR(1) Model with Trend

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  • Nankervis, John C
  • Savin, N E

Abstract

This paper considers a first-order autoregressive model which may include an intercept and trend where the innovations are independently and identically distributed. The innovation distribution is assumed unknown. The autoregressive parameter is tested using the conventional t statistic. The paper presents Monte Carlo estimates of the rejection probability of the test with bootstrap-based critical values. The results show that the test with the bootstrap-based critical value has essentially the right rejection probability for sample sizes comparable to or smaller than those which occur in practice and essentially the same power as the test with level-corrected critical values.

Suggested Citation

  • Nankervis, John C & Savin, N E, 1996. "The Level and Power of the Bootstrap t Test in the AR(1) Model with Trend," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 14(2), pages 161-168, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bes:jnlbes:v:14:y:1996:i:2:p:161-68
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    Cited by:

    1. Joon Y. Park, 2003. "Bootstrap Unit Root Tests," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(6), pages 1845-1895, November.
    2. Bruce E. Hansen, 1999. "The Grid Bootstrap And The Autoregressive Model," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 81(4), pages 594-607, November.
    3. Jeremy Berkowitz & Lutz Kilian, 2000. "Recent developments in bootstrapping time series," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 1-48.
    4. Harris, R. I. D. & Judge, G., 1998. "Small sample testing for cointegration using the bootstrap approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 31-37, January.
    5. Dufour, Jean-Marie & Torres, Olivier, 2000. "Markovian processes, two-sided autoregressions and finite-sample inference for stationary and nonstationary autoregressive processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 99(2), pages 255-289, December.
    6. Park, Joon Y., 2006. "A bootstrap theory for weakly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 133(2), pages 639-672, August.
    7. Psaradakis, Zacharias, 2001. "On bootstrap inference in cointegrating regressions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 72(1), pages 1-10, July.
    8. Burridge, Peter & Robert Taylor, A. M., 2004. "Bootstrapping the HEGY seasonal unit root tests," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 123(1), pages 67-87, November.
    9. Fuertes, Ana-Maria, 2008. "Sieve bootstrap t-tests on long-run average parameters," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(7), pages 3354-3370, March.
    10. Paparoditis, Efstathios & Politis, Dimitris N., 2005. "Bootstrap hypothesis testing in regression models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 74(4), pages 356-365, October.

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