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Investigating Nonlinearity: A Note on the Estimation of Hamilton's Random Field Regression Model

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Author Info
Derek Bond (University of Ulster)
Michael Harrison (Trinity College Dublin)
Edward O'Brien (Trinity College Dublin)

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Abstract

In this paper we give an account of the approach to nonlinear econometric modelling proposed by Hamilton (2001) and briefly describe some of the methods of nonlinear optimization that may be used in the Gauss computer program provided by Hamilton for the implementation of his methodology. The performance of this program is investigated using data relating to Hamilton's example concerning the US Phillips curve, two versions of the Gauss software, and a range of alternative numerical optimization options and values for the Gauss parameter _oprteps. The impact of changes in initial parameter estimates and the use of pairs of optimization algorithms are also briefly examined. Finally, the effects of changes in the sample data on the results produced by Hamilton's procedure are explored. The results presented suggest some clear conclusions, which will be of value to those contemplating working with Hamilton's new method.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Berkeley Electronic Press in its journal Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 9 (2005)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 1230-1230
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Handle: RePEc:bep:sndecm:9:2005:3:1230-1230

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Keywords: nonlinearity numerical optimization US Phillips curve

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Hamilton, James D, 2001. "A Parametric Approach to Flexible Nonlinear Inference," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(3), pages 537-73, May.
    Other versions:
  2. Christian M. Dahl, . "An Investigation of Tests for Linearity and the Accuracy of Flexible Nonlinear Inference," Economics Working Papers 1999-8, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
  3. D. Bond & M. Harrison & E.J. O'Brien, 2003. "Investigating Nonlinearity: A Note on the Implementation of Hamilton's Methodology," Trinity Economics Papers 200312, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  4. Dahl, Christian M. & Gonzalez-Rivera, Gloria, 2003. "Testing for neglected nonlinearity in regression models based on the theory of random fields," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 114(1), pages 141-164, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. James Hamilton, 2005. "Comment on "Investigating Nonlinearity"," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 9(3), pages 1286-1286. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Derek Bond & Michael J. Harrison & Edward J. O'Brien, 2006. "Purchasing Power Parity: The Irish Experience Re-visited," Trinity Economics Papers tep200615, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. Derek Bond & Michael J. Harrison & Niall Hession & Edward J. O'Brien, 2006. "Some Empirical Observations on the Forward Exchange Rate Anomaly," Trinity Economics Papers tep2006, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2008-7-7.


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