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Some New Results on Industrial Sector Mode-Locking and Business Cycle Formation

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Author Info
Bernd Süssmuth (Department of Business and Economics, Munich University of Technology, Germany)
Ulrich Woitek (Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, University of Zurich, Switzerland)
Abstract

Business cycles in different industries have a tendency to synchronize with one another in what appears to be a national business cycle. Using simulation and time series techniques in the time and frequency domain, we offer econometric support for the industrial sector mode-locking hypothesis, extending recent work by Selover, Jensen and Kroll (2003). In addition, we propose an economic motivation of the underlying nonlinear model.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Berkeley Electronic Press in its journal Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 9 (2005)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 1185-1185
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Handle: RePEc:bep:sndecm:9:2005:3:1185-1185

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Related research
Keywords: industrial linkages synchronization comovement

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    Other versions:
  5. Gul, Faruk & Lundholm, Russell, 1995. "Endogenous Timing and the Clustering of Agents' Decisions," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 103(5), pages 1039-66, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    Other versions:
    • Lawrence J. Christiano & Terry J. Fitzgerald, 1999. "The Band pass filter," Working Paper 9906, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. [Downloadable!]
    • Lawrence J. Christiano & Terry J. Fitzgerald, 2003. "The Band Pass Filter," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 44(2), pages 435-465, 05. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Kydland, Finn E & Prescott, Edward C, 1982. "Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(6), pages 1345-70, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  10. Gale, Douglas, 1996. "What have we learned from social learning?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(3-5), pages 617-628, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. A'Hearn, Brian & Woitek, Ulrich, 2001. "More international evidence on the historical properties of business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 321-346, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Hillinger, Claude & Weser, Thilo, 1988. "The aggregation problem in business cycle theory," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 37-40, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Gale, Douglas, 1996. "Delay and Cycles," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 63(2), pages 169-98, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Sussmuth, Bernd, 2003. "Modeling the synchronization of sectoral investment cycles on the base of informational externalities," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 35-54, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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