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Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in Transition Economies: A Nonlinear Analysis Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Mark Taylor (University of Warwick)
Lucio Sarno (Warwick Business School)
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We examine the behavior of the real exchange rates of nine transition economies during the 1990s. We propose an empirical model rationalized on the basis of standard economic models in the tradition of Mundell-Fleming-Dornbusch and Harrod-Balassa-Samuelson, allowing explicitly for real interest rate differentials and (implicitly) for productivity differentials to have an impact on real exchange rate equilibrium and employing nonlinear modeling techniques that are consistent with recently developed economic theories and observed regularities. Using a nonlinear multivariate generalization of the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition applied to our models, we also identify the permanent and temporary components of these real exchange rates implied by our estimates. The results have a natural interpretation and clear policy implications.
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Article provided by Berkeley Electronic Press in its journal Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics .
Volume (Year): 5 (2001)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 1077-1077
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references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
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Michael Arghyrou & Virginie Boinet & Christopher Martin, 2005.
"Beyond Purchasing Power Parity: Nominal exchange rates, output shocks and non linear/asymmetric equilibrium adjustment in Central Europe ,"
Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005
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David M. Kemme & Saktinil Roy, 2005.
"Real Exchange Rate Misalignment: Prelude to Crisis? ,"
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wp797, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Stephen M. Ross Business School.
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Other versions: G. Dufrenot & E. Grimaud & E. Latil & V. Mignon, 2003.
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"Purchasing Power Parity and the Real Exchange Rate in Bangladesh: A Nonlinear Analysis ,"
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