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Wavelet Analysis of the Cost-of-Carry Model

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Author Info
Shinn-Juh Lin (National Tsing Hua University)
Maxwell Stevenson (University of Technology, Sydney)
Abstract

In this paper, it is shown how one can employ the wavelet analysis to reconstruct data based only on the subset of information that differentiates the two fundamentally related time series: spot and futures indices. Such an analysis allows researchers to focus on examining the relationship between the two price series. Furthermore, it also enables examination and comparison of reconstructed prices based on different levels of information detail. It is found that the lead-lag relationship described in the empirical literature still exists between the spot and the futures index prices. Such a relationship is more persistent when more detailed information is used for price reconstruction. This implies that, if market imperfection is to be blamed for the noncontemporaneous relationship between the spot and the futures indices, one should concentrate solely on those imperfections that are likely to occur within very short time horizons.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Berkeley Electronic Press in its journal Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 5 (2001)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 87-102
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Handle: RePEc:bep:sndecm:5:2001:1:87-102

Note: oai:bepress:snde-1073
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Related research
Keywords: wavelet analysis cost-of-carry model

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. James Ramsey & Camille Lampart, 1998. "The Decomposition of Economic Relationships by Time Scale Using Wavelets: Expenditure and Income," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 3(1), pages 23-42. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Jensen, Mark J., 2000. "An alternative maximum likelihood estimator of long-memory processes using compactly supported wavelets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 361-387, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Mark Jensen, 1999. "An Approximate Wavelet MLE of Short- and Long-Memory Parameters," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 3(4), pages 239-253. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Pan, Zuohong & Wang, Xiaodi, 1998. "A Stochastic Nonlinear Regression Estimator Using Wavelets," Computational Economics, Springer, vol. 11(1-2), pages 89-102, April. [Downloadable!]
  6. Davidson, Russell & Labys, Walter C & Lesourd, Jean-Baptiste, 1998. "Wavelet Analysis of Commodity Price Behavior," Computational Economics, Springer, vol. 11(1-2), pages 103-28, April. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Mark J. Jensen, 1998. "An Approximate Wavelet MLE of Short and Long Memory Parameters," Econometrics 9802003, EconWPA, revised 21 Jun 1999. [Downloadable!]
  8. Mark J. Jensen, 1999. "An Approximate Wavelet MLE of Short- and Long-Memory Parameters," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 1243, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Viviana Fernández, 2005. "The International CAPM and a wavelet-based decomposition of Value at Risk," Documentos de Trabajo 203, Centro de Economía Aplicada, Universidad de Chile. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Viviana Fernández, 2007. "Multi-period hedge ratios for a multi-asset portfolio when accounting for returns comovement," Documentos de Trabajo 242, Centro de Economía Aplicada, Universidad de Chile. [Downloadable!]
  3. Maxwell Stevenson & Luiz Moreira do Amaral & Maurice Peat, 2006. "Risk Management and the Role of Spot Price Predictions in the Australian Retail Electricity Market," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 10(3), pages 1383-1383. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Viviana Fernández & Ali M. Kutan, 2005. "Do Regional Integration Agreements Increase Business-Cycle Convergence? Evidence from Apec and Nafta," Documentos de Trabajo 202, Centro de Economía Aplicada, Universidad de Chile. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Viviana Fernandez & Brian M Lucey, 2006. "Portfolio management implications of volatility shifts: Evidence from simulated data," Documentos de Trabajo 219, Centro de Economía Aplicada, Universidad de Chile. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Viviana Fernández, 2007. "The behavior of stock returns in the Asia-Pacific mining industry following the Iraq war," Documentos de Trabajo 243, Centro de Economía Aplicada, Universidad de Chile. [Downloadable!]
  7. Viviana Fernandez, 2005. "Stock Markets Turmoil: Worldwide Effects of Middle East Conflicts," Documentos de Trabajo 215, Centro de Economía Aplicada, Universidad de Chile. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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