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Gold, Fiat Money, and Price Stability

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Author Info
Michael Bordo (Rutgers University)
Robert Dittmar (Risk Analytics)
William Gavin (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis)

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Abstract

The classical gold standard has long been associated with long-run price stability. But short-run price variability led critics of the gold standard to propose reforms that look much like modern versions of price-path targeting. This paper uses a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to examine price dynamics under alternative policy regimes. In the model, a pure inflation target provides more short-run price stability than does the gold standard and, although it introduces a unit root into the price level, it leads to as much long-term price stability as does the gold standard for horizons shorter than 20 years. Relative to these regimes, Fisher's compensated dollar (or pure price-path targeting) reduces inflation uncertainty by an order of magnitude at all horizons. A Taylor rule, with its relatively large weight on output, leads to large uncertainty about inflation at long horizons. This long-run inflation uncertainty can be largely eliminated by introducing an additional response to the deviation of the price level from a desired path.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Berkeley Electronic Press in its journal Topics in Macroeconomics.

Volume (Year): 7 (2007)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 1525-1525
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Handle: RePEc:bep:mactop:v:7:y:2007:i:1:p:1525-1525

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Related research
Keywords: gold standard compensated dollar inflation targeting

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Elisa Newby, 2007. " Macroeconomic Implications of Gold Reserve Policy of the Bank of England during the Eighteenth Century," CDMA Working Paper Series 0708, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  2. Elisa Newby, 2007. " The Suspension of Cash Payments as a Monetary Regime," CDMA Working Paper Series 0707, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
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