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Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy

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Author Info
Ray Fair (Yale University)

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Abstract

The paper analyzes the question why the U.S. economy in the 2000:4--2004:3 period was sluggish in light of the large expansionary fiscal and monetary policies that took place. The answer does not appear to be that there were large structural changes in the economy or systematic bad shocks. This paper tests for such changes and shocks, and the results are generally negative. Instead, the main culprits seem to be large negative effects from declines in the stock market and exports. Although not tested in this paper, some of the decline in exports may be the result of the stock market decline, in which case most of the explanation is simply the stock market decline itself.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Berkeley Electronic Press in its journal Topics in Macroeconomics.

Volume (Year): 5 (2005)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 1302-1302
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Handle: RePEc:bep:mactop:v:5:y:2005:i:1:p:1302-1302

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Related research
Keywords: fiscal policy monetary policy

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E00 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - General

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. D. W. K. Andrews, 2003. "End-of-Sample Instability Tests," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(6), pages 1661-1694, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Christian Weller & Josh Bivens & Max Sawicky, 2004. "Macro Policy Lessons from the Recent Recession," Challenge, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 47(3), pages 42-72, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2008-11-13.


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