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Is a Recession Ahead? The Models Say Yes, but the Mind Says No

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Author Info
Edward Leamer (UCLA)
Abstract

Models based on leading indicators suggest that a recession is almost certainly imminent, but Edward Leamer, a prominent econometrician, distrusts the econometrics and argues that the housing slump will be confined to that sector.

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File URL: http://www.bepress.com/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1239&context=ev
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Berkeley Electronic Press in its journal The Economists' Voice.

Volume (Year): 4 (2007)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 1
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML, plain text, BibTeX, RIS (EndNote), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:bep:evoice:4:2007:1:1

Note: oai:bepress:ev-1239
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Web page: http://www.bepress.com

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Related research
Keywords: recession probability recession forecasting

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This page was last updated on 2008-11-20.

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