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What Drives Movements in Exchange Rates?

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Author Info
Jeannine Bailliu
Michael R. King (Bank of Canada)

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Abstract

Understanding what causes the exchange rate to move has been on ongoing challenge for economists. Despite extensive research, traditional macro models of exchange rate determination--with the exception of the Bank of Canada's exchange rate equation--have typically not fared well, motivating economists to explore new ways to model exchange rate movements that incorporate more complex and realistic settings. Within the context of the sharp appreciation of the Canadian dollar in 2003 and 2004, Bailliu and King review the macroeconomic models of exchange rates, as well as the micro-structure studies that highlight the importance of trading mechanisms, information asymmetry, and investor heterogeneity for explaining short-term dynamics in exchange rates. In addition to summarizing the current state of knowledge, they highlight recent advances and identify promising alternative approaches.

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File URL: http://www.bankofcanada.ca/en/review/autumn05/bailliu.pdf
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File Function: full text
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Bank of Canada in its journal Bank of Canada Review.

Volume (Year): 2005 (2005)
Issue (Month): Autumn ()
Pages: 27-39
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML, plain text, BibTeX, RIS (EndNote), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:bca:bcarev:v:2005:y:2005:i:autumn:p:27-39

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Cited by:
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  1. Tamim Bayoumi & Martin M�hleisen, 2006. "Energy, the Exchange Rate, and the Economy: Macroeconomic Benefits of Canada's Oil Sands Production," IMF Working Papers 06/70, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  2. Antonio Diez de los Rios, 2006. "Can Affine Term Structure Models Help Us Predict Exchange Rates?," Working Papers 06-27, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  3. Corinne Winters, 2008. "The Carry Trade, Portfolio Diversification, and the Adjustment of the Japanese Yen," Discussion Papers 08-2, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2008-11-20.


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