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The Role of economic variables and credit portfolio attributes for estimating discretionary loan loss provisions in Brazilian banks

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Listed:
  • José Alves Dantas

    (University of Brasília)

  • Otávio Ribeiro de Medeiros

    (University of Brasília)

  • Paulo Roberto Barbosa Lustosa

    (University of Brasília)

Abstract

The study assesses whether incorporating macroeconomic variables and attributes of the loan portfolio improves the specification of models designed to identify management discretion in making loan loss provisions by banks, considering the standards issued by regulatory agencies. The empirical tests confirm the consistency of the proposed model based on the expected signs of the explanatory variable’s parameters and their statistical significance. These results were confronted with those of other models found in the literature by comparing the models’ adjusted R2s, by applying Vuong’s (1989) model selection test, by using an F test for nested models, and by analyzing the persistence of the non-discretionary components of loan loss provisions, which shows that the incorporation of macroeconomic variables and attributes of the loan portfolio improves the empirical investigation of discretion practiced by banks.

Suggested Citation

  • José Alves Dantas & Otávio Ribeiro de Medeiros & Paulo Roberto Barbosa Lustosa, 2013. "The Role of economic variables and credit portfolio attributes for estimating discretionary loan loss provisions in Brazilian banks," Brazilian Business Review, Fucape Business School, vol. 10(4), pages 65-90, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:bbz:fcpbbr:v:10:y:2013:i:4:p:65-90
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Sushma Vishnani & Sonu Agarwal & Ritika Agarwalla & Saumya Gupta, 2019. "Earnings Management, Capital Management and Signalling Behaviour of Indian Banks," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 26(3), pages 285-295, September.

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