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Relationship between Tourism and Economic Growth: A Panel Granger Causality Approach


Author Info

  • E. Çaglayan

    (Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Marmara University, Goztepe-Kadikoy, Istanbul (Turkey))

  • N. Sak

    (Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Marmara University, Goztepe-Kadikoy, Istanbul (Turkey))

  • K. Karymshakov

    (Department of Public Finance, Kyrgyzstan-Turkey Manas University, ChyngyzAytmatov Campus, Djal, Bishkek (Kyrgyzstan))

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    This paper investigated the causal relationship between tourism revenue and gross domestic product (GDP) using the panel data of 135 countries for the period 1995–2008. For this purpose, Panel Granger causality analysis was applied to 11 groups of countries. This classification was created as America (30 countries), Asia (34 countries), Europe (37 countries), East Asia (13 countries), South Asia (6 countries), Central Asia (5 countries), Latin America & Caribbean (28 countries), Oceania (7 countries), Middle East & North Africa (11 countries), Sub Saharan Africa (24 countries) and the world (135 countries). Results indicated bidirectional causality in Europe between tourism revenue (TR) and gross domestic product (GDP). Findings showed that there is a unidirectional causality in America, Latin America & Caribbean and World from GDP to tourism revenue. While in case of East Asia, South Asia and Oceania the reverse direction of causality was found from tourism revenue to GDP. No causal relationship was found in Asia, Middle East and North Africa, Central Asia and Sub Saharan Africa.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Asian Economic and Social Society in its journal Asian Economic and Financial Review.

    Volume (Year): 2 (2012)
    Issue (Month): 5 (September)
    Pages: 591-602

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    Handle: RePEc:asi:aeafrj:2012:p:591-602

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    Related research

    Keywords: Tourism Income; Economic Growth; Panel Unit Root; Panel Causality;


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    Cited by:
    1. Andreas G. Georgantopoulos, 2013. "Tourism Expansion and Economic Development: Var/Vecm Analysis and Forecasts for the Case of India," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(4), pages 464-482, April.
    2. João Sousa Andrade & Marta Simões & Adelaide Duarte, 2013. "Despesa Pública em Educação e Saúde e Crescimento Económico: Um Contributo para o Debate sobre as Funções Sociais do Estado," GEMF Working Papers 2013-18, GEMF - Faculdade de Economia, Universidade de Coimbra.


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