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Custos Unitários de Trabalho e Desemprego: Que Relação em Portugal?

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Author Info
Agostinho S. Rosa (Universidade de Évora)

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Abstract

A estimação da relação entre os custos unitários de trabalho e a taxa de desemprego no período 1954-1995 com base em dados anuais, através da abordagem de Johansen, permite-nos concluir que a variação dos custos unitários de trabalho é função decrescente da variação da taxa de desemprego e do erro de equilíbrio (entre a taxa de variação dos custos unitários de trabalho e a taxa de inflação) e função crescente da inflação externa, controlando para a instabilidade da Revolução de Abril de 1974. A taxa de desemprego não é significativa na relação de longo prazo, mas a sua variação é significativa na relação de curto prazo, o que está de acordo com a curva de Phillips modificada, no caso de existência de histerese da taxa de desemprego.

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File URL: http://www.anpec.org.br/revista/vol8/vol8n2p369_397.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics] in its journal Economia.

Volume (Year): 8 (2007)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 369–397
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Handle: RePEc:anp:econom:v:8:y:2007:i:2:p:369-397

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Related research
Keywords: Curva de Phillips Custos Unitários de Trabalho Histerese Desemprego Raízes Unitárias Cointegração

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Hypothesis Testing
C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Estimation
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models
E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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This page was last updated on 2008-11-25.

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