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Time Series Analyses Of Twin Deficits Hypothesis In Turkey


Author Info

  • Bedriye Tuncsiper
  • Dilek Surekci

    (Balikesir University
    Nuh Naci Yazgan University)

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    In this study examines Twin Deficits Hypothesis over the period 1987:01–2007:03 in Turkey by using econometric Vector Autoregressive Model technique. The Public deficit indicators represented by public sector borrowing requirement and domestic dept percentage of gross domestic product. In addition, current account deficits percentage of gross domestic product, real exchange rate index, growth rate and dummy variables are the other variables in this model. Dummy variable used in this model indicates the periods of economic crises. The results of the study, Twin Deficits Hypothesis is not supported by findings. Also the results show that real exchange rate has more significant impact on current account deficits than other variables.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Anadolu University in its journal Anadolu University Journal of Social Sciences.

    Volume (Year): 11 (2011)
    Issue (Month): 3 (September)
    Pages: 103-120

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    Handle: RePEc:and:journl:v:11:y:2011:i:3:p:103-120

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    Related research

    Keywords: Twin Deficits Hypothesis; Current Account Deficit; Public Policiy; VAR Analyses; Turkey.;

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