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Statistical Methods Of Estimating Loss Reserves In General Insurance


Author Info

  • Ion Partachi

    (Academy of Economic Studies of Moldova, Chisinau, Moldova)

  • Oleg Verejan

    (Academy of Economic Studies of Moldova, Chisinau, Moldova)

  • Marcel Bradu

    (Academy of Economic Studies of Moldova, Chisinau, Moldova)

  • Victoria Verejan

    (Academy of Economic Studies of Moldova, Chisinau, Moldova)

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    Relevant estimation of loss reserves related to general insurance activity was and is one of the most important issues for insurance companies. Maintenance of loss reserves at the right level repre-sents the key condition of insurance monitoring authorities as the result of performance indicators of their activity depends on the value of these reserves. The forecasted value of future loss referred to prior events represents the loss reserve. In this paper, we present stochastic methods (Christofides method) of estimating the loss reserves, especially those of incurred but not reported reserves. The stochastic methods presented in the paper, in contrast to the determinist ones, adjust the result better and offer more information referring to the quality of data and exactness level of damage reserve forecast.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration in its journal Analele Stiintifice ale Universitatii "Alexandru Ioan Cuza" din Iasi.

    Volume (Year): 2010SE (2010)
    Issue (Month): (july)
    Pages: 357-371

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    Handle: RePEc:aic:journl:y:2010:v:se:p:357-371

    Contact details of provider:
    Postal: Universitatea Al. I. Cuza; B-dul Carol I nr. 22; Iasi
    Phone: 004 0232 201070
    Fax: 004 0232 217000
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    Related research

    Keywords: loss reserves; stochastic models; deterministic models; incurred but not reported re-serves(IBNR); the Chain-Ladder method; run-off triangle; predicting future payments; the total estimated loss reserve; the confidence interval for future payments.;

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