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Forecasting the Basis for Corn in Western New York

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  • Taylor, Patricia D.
  • Tomek, William G.
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    Abstract

    This study develops a simple model to forecast the basis for corn in a specific region. Improved forecasts can improve hedging decisions. Basis behavior, however, depends on explanatory variables that are themselves difficult to forecast with precision. Thi limits the u efulness of the ba is model , but it doe offer some benefit over naive foreca ts.

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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/159266
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association in its journal Northeastern Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics.

    Volume (Year): 13 (1984)
    Issue (Month): 1: (April)
    Pages:

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    Handle: RePEc:ags:nejare:159266

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    Web page: http://www.narea.org/
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    Related research

    Keywords: Crop Production/Industries; Demand and Price Analysis;

    References

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    1. Paul, Allen B., 1976. "Treatment of Hedging in Commodity Market Regulation," Technical Bulletins, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service 158109, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    2. Feldstein, Martin S, 1971. "The Error of Forecast in Econometric Models when the Forecast-Period Exogenous Variables are Stochastic," Econometrica, Econometric Society, Econometric Society, vol. 39(1), pages 55-60, January.
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    Cited by:
    1. Tomek, William G. & Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa, 2000. "Risk Management In Agricultural Markets: A Survey," 2000 Producer marketing and Risk Management Conference, January 13-14, Orlando, FL 19580, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Tomek, William G., 1993. "Dynamics of Price Changes: Implications for Agricultural Futures Markets," Staff Papers 121339, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    3. Kahl, Kandice H., 1989. "Determinants of the Storage Season Corn Basis in South Carolina," Working Papers 116878, Clemson University, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.

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