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Stochastic Modelling of the North Sea Herring Fishery Under Alternative Management Regimes

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Author Info
Nostbakken, Linda

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Abstract

Until 1977 the North Sea herring fishery was open access. To save the herring stock from total depletion, the fishery was closed from 1977 until 1981. Various regulations have been in effect ever since. In this study, a discrete-time stochastic bioeconomic model is developed to analyse the North Sea herring fishery under alternative management regimes. It is shown how catches and harvest policies change with the price of herring. Feedback policies are found for the optimally managed fishery. The management of the North Sea herring, after the moratorium was lifted in 1981, is evaluated. The results indicate that the management has been suboptimal. Under optimal management, the fishery should have stayed closed until 1983. We also find that the current stock is significantly larger than what maximises net fisheries revenues.

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File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49175
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Marine Resources Foundation in its journal Marine Resource Economics.

Volume (Year): 23 (2008)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages:
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Handle: RePEc:ags:mareec:49175

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Web page: http://www.uri.edu/cels/enre/mre/mre.htm

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Related research
Keywords: Fisheries management; bioeconomic modelling; uncertainty; North Sea herring; Environmental Economics and Policy; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Q21; Q22; Q28;

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Clark, Colin W. & Kirkwood, Geoffrey P., 1986. "On uncertain renewable resource stocks: Optimal harvest policies and the value of stock surveys," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 235-244, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Homans, Frances R. & Wilen, James E., 1997. "A Model of Regulated Open Access Resource Use," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 1-21, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Nostbakken, Linda, 2006. "Regime switching in a fishery with stochastic stock and price," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 231-241, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Bjorndal, Trond & Conrad, Jon M., 1987. "Capital Dynamics in the North Sea Herring Fishery," Marine Resource Economics, Marine Resources Foundation, vol. 4(1). [Downloadable!]
  5. Reed, William J., 1979. "Optimal escapement levels in stochastic and deterministic harvesting models," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 350-363, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Sethi, Gautam & Costello, Christopher & Fisher, Anthony & Hanemann, Michael & Karp, Larry, 2005. "Fishery management under multiple uncertainty," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 300-318, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Pindyck, Robert S, 1984. "Uncertainty in the Theory of Renewable Resource Markets," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(2), pages 289-303, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Bjorndal, Trond, 1987. " Production Economics and Optimal Stock Size in a North Atlantic Fishery," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 89(2), pages 145-64.
  9. Bockstael, Nancy E. & Opaluch, James J., 1983. "Discrete modelling of supply response under uncertainty: The case of the fishery," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 125-137, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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