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Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts

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  • Irwin, Scott
  • Good, Darrel
  • Sanders, Dwight

Abstract

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Suggested Citation

  • Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2015. "Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:illufd:204284
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.204284
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    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/204284/files/fdd300415.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2014. "Are USDA Corn Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-8, August.
    2. Good, Darrel, 2015. "Weekly Outlook: Corn Market Expects Large Supply and Weak Demand," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    3. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R. & Good, Darrel L., 2014. "Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 183477, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Irwin , Scott & Good, Darrel, 2011. "USDA Corn and Soybean Yield Forecast Errors Across Report Release Months," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 1, September.
    5. Irwin , Scott & Good, Darrel, 2011. "Have the Accuracy of USDA's August Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts Changed?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 1, August.
    6. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2011. "USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Yield Forecasts: Dispelling Myths and Misunderstandings," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183528, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2012. "What is a Reasonable Starting Point for Estimating the U.S. Corn Yield in 2012?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 2, May.
    8. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Gomez, Jennifer K., 2008. "The Impact of Situation and Outlook Information in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets: Evidence from WASDE Reports," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(1), pages 89-103, April.
    9. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2014. "Are USDA Soybean Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-8, September.
    10. Irwin, Scott & Sanders, Dwight & Good, Darrel, 2014. "Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, January.
    11. Irwin, Scott & Good, Scott, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Spring Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    12. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    13. Good, Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2013. "USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasting Procedures Revisited With a Focus on Derived Ear Weights," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 3, August.
    14. Westcott, Paul C. & Jewison, Michael, 2013. "Weather Effects on Expected Corn and Soybean Yields," Agricultural Outlook Forum 2013 146846, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum.
    15. Good , Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2011. "USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Yield Forecasts: Dispelling Myths and Misunderstandings," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 1, March.
    16. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nelson, Rohan & Cameron, Andrew & Xia, Charley & Gooday, Peter, 2022. "The ABARES Approach to Forecasting Agricultural Commodity Markets," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 30(6), November.
    2. Jesse Tack & Keith H. Coble & Robert Johansson & Ardian Harri & Barry J. Barnett, 2019. "The Potential Implications of “Big Ag Data” for USDA Forecasts," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(4), pages 668-683, December.

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