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Alternative Market Access Scenarios in the Agriculture Trade Negotiations of the Doha Round

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Author Info
Antimiani, Alessandro
Conforti, Piero
Salvatici, Luca

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Abstract

The article explores possible outcomes of the Doha Development Agenda by simulating agricultural liberalization scenarios with a modified version of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model and the related version 6.0 database. A 2013 baseline is employed to analyze two hypotheses in the areas of market access and export competition. Proportional cuts in tariffs are compared with a Swiss-formula approach. Welfare gains arise both in developed and developing countries, and, at least in principle, both groups should support deep reforms. Results suggest that the choice of the nature of the formula is not crucial in determining an effective increase in market access.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Estey Centre for Law and Economics in International Trade in its journal Estey Centre Journal of International Law and Trade Policy.

Volume (Year): 06 (2005)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages:
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Handle: RePEc:ags:ecjilt:23889

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Keywords: International Relations/Trade;

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Johnson, Martin & Mahe, Louis & Roe, Terry, 1990. "Politically Acceptable Trade Compromises Between The EC and The US: A Game Theory Approach," Working Papers 51154, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium. [Downloadable!]
  2. Huff, Karen & Thomas W. Hertel, 2001. "Decomposing Welfare Changes in GTAP," GTAP Technical Papers 308, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University. [Downloadable!]
  3. C. F. Bach & S. E. Frandsen & H. G. Jensen, 2000. "Agricultural and Economy-Wide Effects of European Enlargement: Modelling the Common Agricultural Policy," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(2), pages 162-180. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Hanoch, Giora, 1975. "Production and Demand Models with Direct or Indirect Implicit Additivity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 43(3), pages 395-419, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Antoine Bouet & Jean-Christophe Bureau & Yvan Decreux & Sebastien Jean, 2004. "Multilateral Agricultural Trade Liberalization: The Contrasting Fortunes of Developing Countries in the Doha Round," Working Papers 2004-18, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Hertel, Thomas W & Martin, Will, 2001. "Second-Best Linkages and the Gains from Global Reform of Manufactures Trade," Review of International Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 9(2), pages 215-32, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Rae, Allan N. & Strutt, Anna, 2003. "The Current Round of Agricultural Trade Negotiations: Should We Bother About Domestic Support?," Estey Centre Journal of International Law and Trade Policy, Estey Centre for Law and Economics in International Trade, vol. 4(2). [Downloadable!]
  8. Westcott, Paul C. & Young, C. Edwin & Price, J. Michael, 2002. "The 2002 Farm Act: Provisions And Implications For Commodity Markets," Agricultural Information Bulletins 33745, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service. [Downloadable!]
  9. Manole, Vlad & Martin, Will & Francois, Joseph, 2005. "Choosing formulas for market access negotiation : efficiency and market access considerations," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3474, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  10. Hans van Meijl & Frank van Tongeren, 2002. "The Agenda 2000 CAP reform, world prices and GATT--WTO export constraints," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press for the Foundation for the European Review of Agricultural Economics, vol. 29(4), pages 445-470, December.
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