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Modelling the effects of a temporary loss of export markets in case of a foot and mouth disease outbreak in Australia: Preliminary results on costs to Australian beef producers and consumers


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  • Cao, Liangyue
  • Klijn, Nico
  • Gleeson, Trish
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    The size of the cost to the Australian beef industry of a potential loss of major beef export markets following an outbreak of foot and mouth disease (FMD) in Australia is important in determining appropriate precautions. The size of this cost is evaluated with a dynamic bioeconomic model of Australian beef production, consumption and export trade. The model developed by ABARE represents forward-looking competitive behaviour of beef producers and traders on domestic and export markets based on perfect foresight. The model enables estimation of the cost due to a FMD outbreak under various scenarios regarding the duration of market closure and affected zones.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by University of Melbourne, Melbourne School of Land and Environment in its journal Australasian Agribusiness Review.

    Volume (Year): 11 (2003)
    Issue (Month): ()

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    Handle: RePEc:ags:auagre:132538

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    Related research

    Keywords: Australian beef industry; foot and mouth disease; FMD; dynamic bioeconomic model; ABARE; cost; Agribusiness; Farm Management; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Livestock Production/Industries; Production Economics; Productivity Analysis; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Risk and Uncertainty; Teaching/Communication/Extension/Profession; ISSN 1442-6951;


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