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Application of Gray Metabolic Model in the Prediction of the Cotton Output in China

Author

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  • Zhou, Zu-liang
  • Yin, Chun-wu

Abstract

In order to forecast the cotton output of China in the year 2011, Gray Metabolic Forecast Model is established based on both the Gray Forecast Model and the Metabolic Theory. According to the actual situation, forecast results of conventional GM (1, 1) Model and Metabolism GM (1, 1) Model are analyzed, showing that Metabolic Forecast Model has higher precision than the conventional forecast model. Therefore, Metabolism GM (1, 1) Model is used to forecast the cotton output of China in the year 2011, which is 614968.3 thousand tons.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhou, Zu-liang & Yin, Chun-wu, 2011. "Application of Gray Metabolic Model in the Prediction of the Cotton Output in China," Asian Agricultural Research, USA-China Science and Culture Media Corporation, vol. 3(01), pages 1-3, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:asagre:108394
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.108394
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    Cited by:

    1. Xiao Guang Yue & Muhammad Aqeel Ashraf, 2018. "Opposite Degree Computation And Its Application ," Engineering Heritage Journal (GWK), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 2(1), pages 5-13, January.
    2. Nana Geng & Yong Zhang & Yixiang Sun & Yunjian Jiang & Dandan Chen, 2015. "Forecasting China’s Annual Biofuel Production Using an Improved Grey Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(10), pages 1-20, October.

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    Keywords

    Agribusiness;

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