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Analyzing Oil Production in Developing Countries: A Case Study of Egypt

Author

Listed:
  • Nazli Choucri
  • Christopher Heye
  • Michael Lynch

Abstract

This article presents a detailed simulation analysis of the domestic oil sector in Egypt; a near-typical, non-OPEC, oil-producing developing country. Egypt is a small producer by international standards, yet significant enough that its oil production is important for the country's economy and under certain conditions, for the international oil market as well. A dynamic computer simulation model that depicts significant characteristics of the country's oil sector is utilized to explore the implications of alternative scenarios for government policies, world oil prices, and geological parameters on patterns of production, exports, and export earnings.

Suggested Citation

  • Nazli Choucri & Christopher Heye & Michael Lynch, 1990. "Analyzing Oil Production in Developing Countries: A Case Study of Egypt," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3), pages 91-116.
    • Handle: RePEc:aen:journl:1990v11-03-a05
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    Cited by:

    1. Cologni, Alessandro & Manera, Matteo, 2011. "On the Economic Determinants of Oil Production. Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Evidence for Small Exporting Countries," Energy: Resources and Markets 115725, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    2. Koul, Saroj & Falebita, Oluwabunmi A. & Akinbami, John-Felix K. & Akarakiri, Joshua B., 2016. "System dynamics, uncertainty and hydrocarbon resources modelling: A systematic review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 199-205.
    3. Hebat-Allah El-Deken & Noran Farag & Noha Hamdy, 2011. "Does Non-renewable Energy Utilization in Egypt Generate Net Gain or Net Loss?," Working Papers 585, Economic Research Forum, revised 05 Jan 2011.
    4. Shin, Juneseuk & Shin, Wan-Seon & Lee, Changyong, 2013. "An energy security management model using quality function deployment and system dynamics," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 72-86.
    5. Rao, Raghavendra D., 2000. "An integrated modelling framework for exploration and extraction of petroleum resources," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 133-143, September.
    6. Cologni, Alessandro & Manera, Matteo, 2014. "On the economic determinants of oil production," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 68-79.
    7. Hosseini, Seyed Hossein & Shakouri G., Hamed, 2016. "A study on the future of unconventional oil development under different oil price scenarios: A system dynamics approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 64-74.
    8. Sugra Humbatova, 2023. "The Impact of Oil Prices on State Budget Income and Expenses: Case of Azerbaijan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 189-212, January.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F0 - International Economics - - General

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