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Irreversible Decisions and Record-Setting News Principles

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Author Info
Svetlana Boyarchenko

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Abstract

In the now-classical real options theory, the price of an underlying asset is modeled as a geometric Brownian motion, and optimal exercise strategies are described by simple explicit formulas. This paper extends the classical theory to allow any geometric Le´vy process to model prices. Such processes may account for fat tails and skewness of probability distributions of commodity prices. The optimal exercise strategies are specified in the paper in terms of statistics of record-setting low or high prices. The formulas derived extend those observed in the Gaussian case, but the form of the result is novel even for that case.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1257/0002828041464452
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File URL: http://www.aeaweb.org/articles/article_detail.php?journal=AER&volume=94&issue=3&article=8&issue_date=June2004
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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Economic Association in its journal American Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 94 (2004)
Issue (Month): 3 (June)
Pages: 557-568
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Handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:94:y:2004:i:3:p:557-568

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  1. Angus Deaton & Guy Laroque, 1990. "On The Behavior of Commodity Prices," NBER Working Papers 3439, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Andrew B. Abel & Janice C. Eberly, 1995. "The Effects of Irreversibility and Uncertainty on Capital Accumulation," NBER Working Papers 5363, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Bernanke, Ben S, 1983. "Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Cyclical Investment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 98(1), pages 85-106, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Andrew B. Abel & Avinash K. Dixit & Janice B. Eberly & Robert S. Pindyck, . "Options, the Value of Capital, and Investment," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 15-95, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Svetlana Boyarchenko & Sergei Levendorskii, 2005. "American options: the EPV pricing model," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 1(3), pages 267-292, 08. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Svetlana Boyarchenko & Sergey Levendorskiy, 2004. "Optimal stopping made easy," Finance 0410016, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Tarun Sabarwal, 2005. "The non-neutrality of debt in investment timing: a new NPV rule," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 1(4), pages 433-445, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Oscar Gutiérrez, 2005. "Real options and the Jorgensonian user cost of capital," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 29(3), pages 625-630, September. [Downloadable!]
  5. Svetlana Boyarchenko & Sergei Levendorskii, 2005. "Practical guide to real options in discrete time II," Finance 0501014, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  6. Svetlana Boyarchenko & Sergei Levendorskii, 2005. "A theory of endogenous time preference, and discounted utility anomalies," Microeconomics 0506005, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  7. Sergey Levendorskiy & Svetlana Boyarchenko, 2004. "Practical guide to real options in discrete time," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 137, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Luis H. R. Alvarez & Teppo A. Rakkolainen, 2006. "A Class of Solvable Optimal Stopping Problems of Spectrally Negative Jump Diffusions," Discussion Papers 9, Aboa Centre for Economics. [Downloadable!]
  9. Svetlana Boyarchenko & Sergei Levendorskii, 2004. "Real options and the universal bad news principle," Levine's Bibliography 122247000000000430, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Svetlana Boyarchenko, 2005. "Buridan's Ass and a Menu of Options," Game Theory and Information 0501006, EconWPA, revised 13 Dec 2005. [Downloadable!]
  11. Svetlana Boyarchenko & Sergei Levendorskii, 2005. "General option exercise rules, with applications to embedded options and monopolistic expansion," Finance 0511001, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  12. Svetlana Boyarchenko & Sergei Levendorskii, 2004. "Practical guide to real options in discrete time," Quantitative Finance Papers cond-mat/0404106, arXiv.org. [Downloadable!]
  13. Svetlana Boyarchenko & Sergei Levendorskii, 2005. "Discount factors ex post and ex ante, and discounted utility anomalies," Microeconomics 0510013, EconWPA, revised 17 Nov 2005. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-13.


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