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Market Contagion: Evidence from the Panics of 1854 and 1857

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Author Info
Morgan Kelly
Cormac O Grada

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Abstract

To test a model of contagion--where individuals hear some bad news and communicate it to their acquaintances, who then pass it on, leading to a market panic--requires a knowledge of the information networks of participants, something hitherto unavailable. For two panics in the 1850s this paper examines the behavior of Irish depositors in a New York bank. As recent immigrants, their social network was determined largely by their place of origin in Ireland, and where they lived in New York. During both panics this social network turns out to be the prime determinant of behavior.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Economic Association in its journal American Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 90 (2000)
Issue (Month): 5 (December)
Pages: 1110-1124
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Handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:90:y:2000:i:5:p:1110-1124

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Shiller, 021Robert J. & Pound, John, 1989. "Survey evidence on diffusion of interest and information among investors," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 47-66, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Charles W. Calomiris & Gary Gorton, . "The Origins of Banking Panics: Models, Facts, and Bank Regulation," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 11-90, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
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  3. Cormac O Grada & Eugene N. White, 2002. "Who Panics During Panics? Evidence from a Nineteenth Century Savings Bank," NBER Working Papers 8856, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Grinblatt, Mark & Titman, Sheridan & Wermers, Russ, 1995. "Momentum Investment Strategies, Portfolio Performance, and Herding: A Study of Mutual Fund Behavior," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(5), pages 1088-1105, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. S. Rao Aiyagari, 1988. "Banking panics, information, and rational expectations equilibrium," Working Papers 320, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
  6. Lakonishok, Josef & Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W., 1992. "The impact of institutional trading on stock prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 23-43, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. V.V. Chari & Ravi Jagannathan, 1984. "Banking Panics," Discussion Papers 618, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science. [Downloadable!]
  8. Guillermo A. Calvo & Enrique G. Mendoza, 1996. "Mexico's balance-of-payments crisis: a chronicle of death foretold," International Finance Discussion Papers 545, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  9. Calomiris, Charles W. & Schweikart, Larry, 1991. "The Panic of 1857: Origins, Transmission, and Containment," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 51(04), pages 807-834, December. [Downloadable!]
  10. Borjas, George J, 1995. "Ethnicity, Neighborhoods, and Human-Capital Externalities," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(3), pages 365-90, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Chari, V V & Jagannathan, Ravi, 1988. " Banking Panics, Information, and Rational Expectations Equilibrium," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 43(3), pages 749-61, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Aureo de Paula, 2004. "Social Interactions in a Synchronization Game," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 277, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  2. Celen, Bogachan & Hyndman, Kyle, 2006. "Endogenous Network Formation In the Laboratory," MPRA Paper 1440, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Harrison Hong & Jeffrey D. Kubik & Jeremy C. Stein, 2001. "Social Interaction and Stock-Market Participation," NBER Working Papers 8358, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Zhang, Xiaobo & Johnson, Michael & Resnick, Danielle & Robinson, Sherman, 2004. "Cross-country typologies and development strategies to end hunger in Africa," DSGD discussion papers 8, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). [Downloadable!]
  5. Una Okonkwo Osili & Anna Paulson, 2008. "Bank crises and investor confidence," Working Paper Series WP-08-17, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. [Downloadable!]
  6. Cormac Ó Gráda, 2008. "How the Poor (and not-so-poor) Saved - Savings Banks in Mid-Nineteenth Century Ireland and America," Working Papers 200822, School Of Economics, University College Dublin. [Downloadable!]
  7. Ann M Carlos & Karen Maguire & Larry Neal, 2008. "“A knavish people ...so dextrous in bargaining that it is impossible for Christians to expect any advantage in their dealings with them” - London Jewry and the Stockmarket during the South Sea Bub," Working Papers 200806, School Of Economics, University College Dublin. [Downloadable!]
  8. Khim Yong, Goh & Kai-Lung, Hui & I.P.L. , Png, 2008. "Social Interaction, Observational Learning, and Privacy: the "Do Not Call" Registry," MPRA Paper 8225, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  9. Harrison Hong & Jeffrey D. Kubik & Jeremy C. Stein, 2003. "The Neighbor's Portfolio: Word-of-Mouth Effects in the Holdings and Trade of Money Managers," NBER Working Papers 9711, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Nevzat Eren & Han N. Ozsoylev, 2006. "Communication Dilemma in Speculative Markets," OFRC Working Papers Series 2006fe08, Oxford Financial Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
  11. Cormac Ó Gráda & Eugene N White, 2002. "Who Panics during Panics? Evidence from a Nineteenth Century Bank," Working Papers 200212, School Of Economics, University College Dublin. [Downloadable!]
  12. Gary B. Gorton, 2008. "The Subprime Panic," NBER Working Papers 14398, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. George G. Kaufman & Steven A. Seeling, 2002. "Post-resolution treatment of depositors at failed banks: implications for the severity of banking crises, systemic risk, and too big to fail," Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue Q II, pages 27-41. [Downloadable!]
  14. Alan Kirman, 2006. "Heterogeneity in Economics," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 89-117, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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