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Ambiguity Aversion and Incompleteness of Contractual Form

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  • Mukerji, Sujoy

Abstract

Subjective uncertainty is characterized by ambiguity if the decisionmaker has an imprecise knowledge of the probabilities of payoff-relevant events. In such an instance, subjective beliefs are better represented by a set of probability functions than by a unique probability function. An ambiguity-averse decisionmaker adjusts his choice on the side of caution in response to his imprecise knowledge of the odds. This paper shows that ambiguity aversion can explain the existence of incomplete contracts. The contextual setting is the investment hold-up model which has been the focus of much of the research on incomplete contracts. Copyright 1998 by American Economic Association.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by American Economic Association in its journal American Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 88 (1998)
Issue (Month): 5 (December)
Pages: 1207-31

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Handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:88:y:1998:i:5:p:1207-31

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  1. Reuven Glick & Kenneth Rogoff, 1993. "Global Versus Country-Specific Productivity Shocks and the Current Acocount," Boston University - Institute for Economic Development 31, Boston University, Institute for Economic Development.
  2. Olivier Jean Blanchard & Danny Quah, 1990. "The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances," NBER Working Papers 2737, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Marin, Dalia, 1992. "Is the Export-Led.Growth Hypothesis Valid for Industrialized Countries?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 74(4), pages 678-88, November.
  4. Campbell, John Y & Shiller, Robert J, 1987. "Cointegration and Tests of Present Value Models," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 95(5), pages 1062-88, October.
  5. Nason, J.M. & Rogers, J.H., 2000. "Investment and the Current Account in the Short Run and the Long Run," UBC Departmental Archives 00-14, UBC Department of Economics.
  6. Gonzalo, J. & Granger, C., 1992. "Estimation of Common Long-Memory Components in Cointegrated Systems," Papers 4, Boston University - Department of Economics.
  7. Obstfeld, Maurice, 1986. "Capital mobility in the world economy: Theory and measurement," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 55-103, January.
  8. Johansen, Soren, 1995. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774501.
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