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Budget Constraints and Time-Series Evidence on Consumption

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Author Info
Gali, Jordi

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Abstract

Is consumption more or less variable than predicted by the permanent-income hypothesis? To answer that question, the author develops a procedure based on a long-run restriction implied by the consumer's intertemporal budget constraints. In contrast to previous work, the approach here (1) does not require any assumptions on the stochastic properties of labor income, (2) does not impose restrictions on the consumer's information set, and (3) is robust to departures from the permanent-income-hypothesis model. The application of the procedure to postwar U.S. data suggests that consumption is smoother than the permanent-income-hypothesis model predicts. Copyright 1991 by American Economic Association.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Economic Association in its journal American Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 81 (1991)
Issue (Month): 5 (December)
Pages: 1238-53
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Handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:81:y:1991:i:5:p:1238-53

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  2. Gordon de Brouwer, 1996. "Consumption and Liquidity Constraints in Australia and East Asia: Does Financial Integration Matter?," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9602, Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  3. Charlotte Ostergaard & Bent E. Sorensen & Oved Yosha, 2000. "Consumption and aggregate constraints : evidence from U.S. states and Canadian provinces," Research Working Paper RWP 00-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Orazio Attanasio & Nicola Pavoni, 2007. "Risk Sharing in Private Information Models with Asset Accumulation: Explaining the Excess Smoothness of Consumption," NBER Working Papers 12994, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Amir Kia, 2005. "Sustainability of the Fiscal Process in Developing Countries- Egypt, Iran and Turkey: A Multicointegration Approach," Carleton Economic Papers 05-08, Carleton University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Jim Malley & Hassan Molana, 1997. "The Permanent Income Hypothesis Revisited. Reconciling Evidence from Aggregate Data with the Representative Consumer Behaviour," Working Papers 9708, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Jim Malley & Hassan Molana, 2002. "The Life-Cycle-Permanent-Income Model: A Reinterpretation and Supporting Evidence," Working Papers 2002_17, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
  10. Reis, Ricardo, 2005. "Inattentive Consumers," CEPR Discussion Papers 5053, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Laura Serlenga, . "Three Alternative Approaches to Test the Permanent Income Hypothesis in Dynamic Panels," series 0005, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche - Università di Bari. [Downloadable!]
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