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International Macroeconomic Policy Coordination When Policymakers Do Not Agree on the True Model

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Author Info
Frankel, Jeffrey A
Rockett, Katharine E

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Abstract

The authors relax the assumption of the literature on international coordination that policymakers know the true model. T wo countries will still be able to agree on a cooperative policy pack age that each believes will improve the objective function relative t o the Nash noncooperative solution. However, the bargaining solution may move the target variables in the wrong direction. These points ar e illustrated with monetary and fiscal multipliers taken from simulat ions of ten leading econometric models. Out of 1,000 possible combina tions of models that could represent U.S. beliefs, non-U.S. beliefs, and the true model, monetary coordination improves U.S. welfare in on ly 546 cases. Copyright 1988 by American Economic Association.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Economic Association in its journal American Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 78 (1988)
Issue (Month): 3 (June)
Pages: 318-40
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Handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:78:y:1988:i:3:p:318-40

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